Power Outages Over Time
Yearly count, 2000–2016
hover to break down by cause →
Longest Outages on Record
Top 8 by duration
Outages by State
Total major outages, 2000–2016
Fewer More
Climate Regions
Outage Causes, Ranked
U.S. Map
Click any state for its full outage profile.
Outages by State
Total major outages, 2000–2016
Fewer More
State Detail
Click a state on the map, or search for one above.
Causes & Trends
What's driving outages, and how each cause has trended since 2000.
Outage Causes, Ranked
Power Outages Over Time
Yearly count, 2000–2016
hover to break down by cause →
Climate Regions
Duration Model
The model that predicts how long an outage will last, given its cause, region, season and time of day.
What this model does
Given cause category, climate region, NERC region, season, month, year, hour the outage started, and local population density,
it predicts outage duration — reframed as
log1p(minutes) and fit with gradient boosting, since raw-minute regression is dominated by a long tail of multi-week outages.
Baseline → Final, by MAE
Reframed as Triage: Duration Buckets
<1 day / 1–3 days / 3+ days · per-class precision & recall
Fairness Analysis
Is the duration model equally accurate across different outage causes?
RMSE by Cause Group
outage.csv
Preview of the cleaned columns used throughout this analysis.
Notebook
The full analysis, step by step.